Best Guess for 2009/Early 2010

March 4th, 2009

My Thoughts:

  1. Twitter is going to grow wildly in 2009, and find new spam/noise filters in the later part of the year.
  2. Facebook will grow to 300 million users, and then slow considerably.
  3. Ad rates will drop 50% in 2009, basically, the banner ad market will be cratered.
  4. MySpace will lose 20% of its power.
  5. 2009/10 is the time when TechCrunch jumps the shark.
  6. There will only be a few new startups in 2009 that are not pansy-assed me-too products that are ad monetized.
  7. The TC50 will be pretty damn good, but the DEMO tension will on increase.
  8. Google will see serious declines in some search keyword rates.
  9. Dell will see a resurgence in late 2009, and Apple will have to stop charging $1000 dollars for 4 gb of RAM.
  10. Zune dies as a media player in the next 15 months, sadly, but the great desktop application lives on.
  11. Global food prices decline with dropping energy rates in the next year, but still remain too high for many people.
  12. The Republicans continue to decline.
  13. The Libertarians rise [please?].

Comments (1)

One Response to “Best Guess for 2009/Early 2010”

  1. Chaalz Says:

    Haven’t browsed through much of your site yet, but I’d like some elaboration/details of your thoughts on #6 “There will only be a few new startups in 2009 that are not pansy-assed me-too products that are ad monetized.” Just curious.

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